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According to the previous forecast, there will be a small rise in the price of pigs around the winter solstice, and the slaughtering enterprises will live up to expectations. The price of pigs will rise slightly after sweeping the haze of the previous days. Although the increase is not big, it is enough to make the stone in the heart of the pig farm owner fall a little. This is how to raise pigs. How to sell pigs well is also a problem.
According to Shandong Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Information Center, at present, the price of live pigs in Shandong province continues to rise steadily. The price of live pigs is 15.12 yuan / kg, up 3.94% on a month on month basis, and the price continues to improve. At present, the profit of a fattening pig is generally about 150 yuan, and the profit of self breeding and self breeding pigs is about 300 yuan. It is expected that the rise of pig price in this round will last until January next year.
According to the analysis of Shandong Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Information Center, the supply of pigs is tight at the end of the year. From the perspective of supply and demand, the continuous tension between supply and demand promotes the continuous rise of pig prices. From the demand side, strong cold air came, snow fell in the north and rain fell in the south, and the temperature suddenly dropped more than 10 degrees. The demand for making bacon in the South and the demand for killing pigs in the north in the later period gradually started. And new year's day, Spring Festival and other festivals are coming soon. Slaughtering enterprises began to stock up and continue to drive the demand. At the end of the year, pork consumption is expected to significantly increase, driving the price rise will continue to warm up.
From the supply side, since June, the price of piglets has fallen below 40 yuan / kg, showing a continuous decline. The enthusiasm of the industry is relatively low. Affected by this round of environmental protection policies, small and medium-sized retail investors have accelerated the clearance of excess capacity, which further affected the tight supply of pigs in December. At the same time, with the rise of pig price, the phenomenon of market pressure began to appear. It is expected that the supply and demand of pigs will maintain a tight balance at the end of the year, and the price of pigs is expected to have a more obvious rebound at the end of the year. It is expected that the rise of this round of pig prices will continue until January next year.
Boldly predict that it will rise in the next January to February
Xiaobian draws the following conclusions from the communication and analysis with pig friends;
1. Supply and demand: after more than 20 days of rapid increase in pig prices at the end of November and the beginning of December, slaughtering enterprises have accumulated a considerable number of pigs. I think many friends have produced some pigs in the middle, right? Tu enterprises also hope that the price of pigs will continue to rise. Farmers sell money and Tu enterprises earn money. However, during this period of price rise, market demand is almost saturated, so it is said that the price of pigs will be suspended.
2. Game: when the price of pigs goes up, the farmers are happy to sell more money, and the same butcher enterprises are happy. Although the price of collecting pigs goes up, the price that butcher enterprises sell to the market will go up, so they are willing to pay high prices. After a period of time, it was found that pigs were difficult to harvest, because the farmers saw the rising market of pig prices. The double festival is coming, and the price of pigs will surely be red. They do not want to sell all the pigs, but they want to sell them at a higher price. In this way, the butcher enterprise and the farmers will directly start the game. Butcher enterprises also seize the hearts of farmers who are reluctant to sell, hoping to fight a guerrilla war, and want to collect another part of pigs at a low price, so as to welcome the coming of the double festival. Fortunately, some farmers do not have the trap of planting and killing enterprises.
3. Near the end of the year, some pigs have been consumed by environmental protection demolition, and a large number of sick and dead pigs have appeared in some pig farms due to inadequate care due to the increasingly cold weather. The pig stock of Muqian pig farm is much lower than that of the previous year. When the pig consumption in the market is completed, it is difficult to slaughter the enterprise and collect the pigs, so the price of pigs will be raised naturally